A forecast is only useful when people can examine the assumptions behind it.
Project Controls Intelligence explores how progress, productivity and workfront readiness shape construction forecasts—and the decisions that follow. I work through these questions as a practitioner, using public research and clearly labelled synthetic examples.
Current focus — Forecast Integrity & Decision Assurance
New to the research?
Start with the assumption behind a remaining-labour forecast. Then follow the series through crew demand, workfront readiness, weekly commitments and verified progress.
Research article · Labour & Productivity
From Field Progress to Verified Progress: Where Can AI Help?
One synthetic electrical work package, followed from a calculated percentage to an approved one, and a realistic look at what 360° imagery and AI can add.
Recent research
-
Research article · Planning & Scheduling · Forecast Integrity, part 4
From Pull Plan to Promise: A Guided Walk Through the Last Planner Cycle
One synthetic electrical workfront, followed from milestone to weekly promise to lesson learned, for readers trained in CPM and project controls.
-
Research article · Planning & Scheduling · Forecast Integrity, part 3
When the Workfront Moves: What Happens to the Subcontractor's Labour Forecast?
How make-ready planning relates to a CPM control schedule, and what a changed workfront release assumption does to a specialty subcontractor's labour forecast.
-
Research article · Labour & Productivity · Forecast Integrity, part 2
How Do Remaining Labour Hours Become a Crew Forecast?
A worked example: how remaining labour hours become a time-phased crew forecast, what an FTE figure actually tells you, and what resource levelling changes.
-
Research article · Labour & Productivity · Forecast Integrity, part 1
How Should Productivity Be Used to Forecast Remaining Labour in Construction?
Measured productivity tells you what happened. Forecasting the remaining labour needs an explicit assumption about what comes next — and a way to check it.
About this publication
I am Ridvan Senturk, a Project Controls Lead working in Canadian construction. This is my independent professional publication, where I examine the evidence and assumptions behind project decisions. Written on personal time; no employer or client data is used.
About →